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BRIEF INTRODUCTION

Dr. Pengyu Zhu is a Professor in the Division of Public Policy at Hong Kong University of Science and technology (HKUST). He is also the Director of the Center for Applied Economic Social and Environmental Research, Associate Director of GREAT Smart Cities Institute.

He has taught courses on transportation and land use, transportation economics, economics applications to planning and policy, urban economics, urban geography, quantitative research methods, and urban design and site planning studios.


Research Highlights

Results: Being connected to the HSR network on average leads to a 11.2% faster rate of growth of urban built-up areas. Causes and mechanism for such heterogeneity are also elaborated, together with the policy and planning implications.

Results: We find high-speed rail (HSR) and air connectivity with Wuhan resulted in 25.4% and 21.2% increases in the average number of daily new confirmed cases, respectively, while their suspension led to 18.6% and 13.3% decreases in that number.



Results: The ifection rate under home quanrantine later converges with the counterfactual estimate under centralized quanrantine (0.136% vs. 0.174), suggesting similar efficacy in the later face of implementation. Accordingly, compulsory home quanrantine is feasible.

Results: These findings suggest that telecommuting (two-worker) households tend to choose locations involving a longer total one-way commute than non-telecommuting households, and this difference is largely due to the longer commute of their telecommuting members.

Results: We find that under our initial assumptions, with a buffer time of 60s, ride-pooling has the potential to reduce aggregate VKT by 8.21% as compared to standard ride-hailing mode in a mid-sized city, Haikou. This reduction in VKT is equivalent to a savings of 1,234,164 Liters in petroleum consumption and 3308 tons in carbon emissions annually.

Results: We further compare the performance of the spatial econometric models using different SWMs for each period. Regardless of whether the population-flow-based SWM or inverse distance SWM was used, the global Moran’s I tests for Period I consistently exhibit significantly positive values, confirming the existence of spatial autocorrelation in the dependent variable. However, as mentioned in section 4.3, LM tests and robust LM tests indicate that spatial models (e.g., SLM, SEM) based on inverse distance SWM fail to capture such spatial autocorrelation in the dependent variable and these models perform no better than the OLS model. On the other hand, spatial models using population-flow-based SWM for the spatial lagged dependent variable successfully address the spatial autocorrelation issue, with the model residuals exhibiting no systematic spatial pattern at a 95 percent confidence level.

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pengyuzhu@ust.hk
(852) 3469 2847
Clear Water Bay, Kowloon
Room 4616 C

HKUST HOMEPAGE